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18,878 Entries
Farzad 
April 11

Comments:
Thanks Saeed. Now tell me about Saturday. What do you want to see as an outcome and what do you think will happen.

I think the discussions will not go far. And Israel will bomb all the nuke facilities in iran. There will be some retaliation by IRI but then knowing Akhunds they will concede for survival.

The negotiation is basically this. Will you voluntary dismantle or shall we do it the hard way. There is no concession whatsoever.


Cyruss 
April 11

Comments:
I may be wrong
But here is your answer:
Singapore ( they pride themselves as free trade hub) almost zero tariffs on US goods except for Alcohol and Tobacco
China before trade war of 2018, and according to world trade organization data , on average 8-10 percent of, depending on the category of goods and retaliatory measures taken by US. In certain categories like agricultural and pork products it was higher ( 15-20) percent, mainly on soy beans.
Again according to the world trade data ,In 2024, before the escalation of the U.S.-China trade war under the second Trump administration, China’s tariffs on U.S. goods averaged around 6% to 8% across most sectors,.
Agricultural products like soybeans, pork, and wheat faced higher tariffs, sometimes 10%-15%, due to earlier trade tensions lingering from 2018-2019. Specific goods, like coal or certain machinery, occasionally saw tariffs up to 15% depending on bilateral agreements and retaliatory measures from prior disputes.
Singapore, maintainedits free-trade stance, imposed effectively 0% tariffs on nearly all U.S. goods in 2024, except for select items like alcohol and tobacco products.
To the best of my knowledge. MAGA outlets and Fox News may disagree with the above.
Now, why are you so sensitive about Singapore? Just because I posted a video on how a statesman should talk and present his case without being a bully?


Saeed 
April 11

Comments:
Let’s accept the fact that Farzad truly believes these policies are helpful to US economy. Let’s accept the fact that he believes Trump is a smart businessman and what he is doing is for America and Americans. Reality is that we can’t convince anyone otherwise, even if the results are right in front of us.


Farazd 
April 11

Comments:
Cyruss so what was exactly your point?

Like, you know well before these new tariffs, Both Singapore and China already levied tariffs on our exports but we did not. So why is it good that they can tariff us to limit our exports, but we cannot. Just wanted to understand the logic.

I am all 👂


Farzad 
April 11

Comments:
See more poise on Tajiks than Iranians.


Cyruss 
April 11

Comments:
Farzad, happy Friday
I don’t know what brought poor China thing or cuttings jobs
سفسطه، being melted in MAGA, the fact that comprehension is not your strong point and gets taken over by your preconceived assumptions or just being your usual sarcastic teasing self . That is ok, I’m used to your bias perceived notions in favor of addressing the points raised.


Farzad 
April 11

Comments:
Iran U-17 vs Tajikistan U-17

https://www.youtube.com/live/VpIMkXONC5c?si=uMAm1yhe6bnj_sZx


Farzad 
April 11

Comments:
Anyways.

What is everyone's take on the negotiations tomorrow. What would you consider a good outcome? Like to hear.

Saeed??!


Farzad 
April 11

Comments:
It was classic HAMVATAN. I have to say it. It was fun. Still go back and keep reading them. Mind blowing🤯. Why is he not cutting manufacturing jobs in USA 😆😆😆. Boeing, Tesla, GM, Ford, Alcoa, Amazon, Starlink, Walmart, Space X, Ti , Intel. I will post how much jobs these companies created in the US.

And Cyruss was like, poor China and Singapore ☺️

Regardless, I know you guys were joking.
فقط یه بار سر کار برا شوخی هم‌شده اینو پست نکنی.
I know you won't ☺️


HAMVATAN™ 
April 11

Comments:
"فرزاد، التماس سفسطه" [biggrin]

"التماس سلف ریسپکت😆" Farzad, take a look in the mirror. [biggrin]


kAmkAr  
April 11

Comments:
IPL:
Cyruss 2-2 Farzad


Saeed 
April 11

Comments:
Thank you guys for providing some useful facts (Cyrus, Hamvatan).  The bottom line is US expense is going toward things that are unlikely to change. So that amplify my position that repayment of deficit can neither be helped with saving nor tariffs.  Tariffs are a highly specialized matter and varies according to the industry. If this was going to be something serious, it should have included people with real experience, not like Trump and his team.  I really enjoyed listening to the prime minister of Singapore. He seemed quite knowledgable. 


Farzad 
April 11

Comments:
[image]

Witkoff:
بگو واسه درمون دل چی میشه یه بوسم بدی

Araghchi:
اوا خدا مرگم بده اینو جلو مردم نگی

https://www.instagram.com/reel/C4nwAlmM9_U/?igsh=NTc4MTIwNjQ2YQ==


Farzad 
April 11

Comments:


Farzad 
April 11

Comments:
Saied jan. Just linkedined you. Thought I had your email. Funny I have Ashkan's.


Farzad 
April 11

Comments:


Gol Bezan 
April 11

Comments:


Farzad 
April 10

Comments:
Saeed, and others. Chamath has been a democratic megadonor, including obama Hillary Biden and Kamala. This is all about our economy. Pure economy explained brilliantly so simply.. Talks about our debt, interest rate, tariffs, taxes. Please watch. It just explains where things are and where our economy stands. And let's talk. Forget Trump.
 
 
 


Farzad 
April 10

Comments:
اینطور که میخونم من فکر کنم
Mr. Hallak
شنبه طرف آخوندا رو بگیره
خودتونو منتالی آماده کنین
😆😆😆


Farzad 
April 10

Comments:
This is an economic analyst from the other side of the world. No Fox cnn msnbc.
یه زره گوش کنین ببینین جریان چیه و چرا داره این اتفاقا میفته. باور کنید به دانشتون اضافه میشه. نه از ترامپ دفاع میکنه حتی انتقاد هم میکنه ولی میگه جریان چیه. ریسک‌چیه. دنیا داشت کجا میرفت و آیا ادامه پیدا میکنه. ادامه پیدا کنه چی میشه؟ اگر ترامپ موفق بشه چی میشه؟ اگر چین سرسخت وایسه چی میشه. چه اتفاقی باید بیفته؟
بابا this is history in making.


Farzad 
April 10

Comments:
زودتر میگفتین ما بساطو میچیدیم و خودمونو آماده میکردیم 😀😆😃


Farzad 
April 10

Comments:
stopping by my local dispensary, will be back to read the rest of this.😆
حیفه


Farzad 
April 10

Comments:
اون
Space X
نبود
اون فضانوردهایی که بایدن تو هوا ول کرده بود و کی میخواست بیاره. 😆😆😆😃😀😊


Cyruss 
April 10

Comments:
Glad to see it hits home :)


Farzad 
April 10

Comments:
No Cyruss jan. These are hilarious as fuck ...
keep'm coming.
I prefer with cheshm bolboli

[khoresh-ghorme-sabzi]


Cyruss 
April 10

Comments:
Since you insist :)
Your buddy sent me another editorial:
They're treating you like a fool, and laughing while they do it.
First, Trump slapped massive tariffs on countless products, promising this would revive American manufacturing and protect working families.
The market crashed, small businesses panicked, but his supporters cheered...
It was bold, brave, and brilliant, they said.
Then overnight, he backed down, completely reversing his position, and suddenly, the same voices hailed it as a stroke of genius, "the art of the deal."
They switched stories faster than you could blink, expecting you to follow blindly, never questioning, never doubting.
Trump's tariff fiasco is just chaos disguised as genius. It’s ego masquerading as policy.
And YOU are paying the price.
If you're running a small business, having carefully priced a product at $59, now suddenly facing tariffs that spike your cost to $189 per unit. What the hell do you do?!!
Do you eat the crippling cost, cancel orders and absorb losses, or gamble your business’s survival waiting for Trump's next impulsive announcement?!
This is happening to real businesses, real families, real communities right now. They’re losing sleep, savings, and dreams because decisions are made by one man's "gut feelings and ego."
No careful planning, genuine economic sense, or some galactic chess move to be seen anywhere!
Meanwhile, billionaires casually spend $5 million for dinner with Trump, securing favors worth billions overnight. Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos, they pick up the phone, buy influence, and walk away richer.
YOU?!!
You’re stuck dealing with the unpredictable whims of a tyrant who thrives on chaos, adulation, and the desperate pleas of CEOs seeking carve-outs.
Those cheering loudest about Trump's tariff "strategy" are never the ones who pay the price. They haven't watched their profit margins evaporate overnight. They haven't had to choose between layoffs and bankruptcy.
The real "Art of the Deal" is how easily Trump convinces supporters to defend actions today that he'll reverse tomorrow. It’s how he keeps you trapped, forced to defend nonsense, compromising your integrity every step of the way. Wake up dum dum.
We deserve better.
Better than to be manipulated by a weak man whose only consistent strategy is making himself feel powerful at your expense.
Demand consistency, transparency, and sanity.


Cyruss 
April 10

Comments:
فرزاد، التماس سفسطه


Farzad 
April 10

Comments:
اگه ترییف بده؟ پس چرا این کشورا از اون اول خودشون رو اجناس امریکا ترییف گذاشتند؟
 
So when Singapore Tariff us no impact, but when we tariff Singapore there is an impact 😆😆
 
خدا را شکر شما حرفه تون مهندسیه و تو امور بازرگانی و مالی نیستید.
 
یه بار خدا نکرده بیزنس میزنس خودتونو نزنین با این نخبگی
 
😆
 
التماس سلف ریسپکت😆


Farzad 
April 10

Comments:
Cyruss, so it is a good thing we get all of those things from China?
Also between your list and Hamvatan list. Is Tesla, GM, Boeing suffering or intensified??!
دست شیطون و بستین😆

https://youtube.com/shorts/fPvV5gPRf-U?si=_WJkrJvn8190iYbC


Farzad 
April 10

Comments:
Are we saying Elon should cut Intel, GM, Alcoa, Starlink, Ford, Boeing, Texas Instrument, Walmart, Tesla, Amazon,....?
 
کوسخوله مگه؟😀😆😃
 
These are all American manufacturers with American Jobs, with Made in USA tag. He is trying to bring 10 fold more of these jobs here with incentives. And more will be added.
 
اینتل را قطع کنه؟
الکوآ را قطع کنه؟
ستار لینک رو قطع کنه؟
بویینگ رو قطع کنه؟
 
😆😃😆
 
His whole plan is to institute manufacturing here and bring more.
 
فکر کنم این هفته قرمه سبزی شنبلیلش از چین وارد شده 😀😆😀
ساقیتون کیه؟😆😃😆
زدین به سیم آخر 😆😆😆
التماس فکر
 
 


Cyruss 
April 10

Comments:
Hamvatan, yesterday I posted a
list of top 10 companies in the US that will suffer because of their dependence on China:
1. Apple (90% products assembled in China)
2. Ford Motor Company
3. Tesla (50% vehicles, 100% batteries)
4. Walmart (70-80% of merchandise)
5. Qualcomm (66% revenues from China)
6. Micron Technology (57% revenues from China)
7. Boeing (titanium and electronics)
8. Nike (20-30% goods)
9. General Motors (parts and sales)
10. Coca-Cola (packaging and ingredients
Some like GM , Tesla and Ford also appear in your list of welfare recipients.
So our taxes provide capital for their operations, then we turn around and put tariffs on them?
What is the thinking on this?


Cyruss  
April 10

Comments:
A rare good statesmanship by a current leader
A little long, about 10 minutes, but worth to watch
I suppose this speech was made last week


HAMVATAN™ 
April 10

Comments:
https://x.com/i/status/1910361647698342225


HAMVATAN™ 
April 10

Comments:
Saeed. You can know here it from the horse's mouth on who benefits from his destructive antics.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-media-max-width="560"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Oh my god. Donald Trump’s audio was caught on this video explaining that his billionaire friends made billions yesterday with tariffs and stock market manipulation. The SEC needs to investigate. <br><br> <a href="https://t.co/LN438HYVsK">pic.twitter.com/LN438HYVsK</a></p>&mdash; CALL TO ACTIVISM (@CalltoActivism) <a href="https://twitter.com/CalltoActivism/status/1910361647698342225?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 10, 2025</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>


Farzad 
April 10

Comments:


HAMVATAN™ 
April 10

Comments:
Thanks Cyrus keep posting from him.[biggrin]

I can only vouch the amount given to the company I work for is correct.
[image]


Cyruss 
April 10

Comments:
I want to see how do these cuts compare to the contracts given to Elon Musk during this period. Anyone?
Since the U.S. Space Force announced new national security launch contracts on April 4, 2025, SpaceX has secured a significant portion of the awards. SpaceX is expected to receive roughly 28 missions and around $5.9 billion, with ULA and Blue Origin also securing contracts, according to Reuters. The total value of these contracts is around $13.7 billion, covering missions through 2032. 
https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/spacex-ula-expected-clinch-multibillion-dollar-contract-key-pentagon-launch-2025-04-04/


Cyruss 
April 10

Comments:
Another piece by Mr. Hallak posted here due to popular demand :)
Despite these headline-grabbing cuts, the American federal government isn't shrinking!
In fact, it's getting larger, and more expensive.
Right now, tens of thousands of federal employees across America have lost their jobs. Vital foreign aid programs that saved millions from disease and death have been gutted. Scientific research that fueled breakthroughs and innovation has been stripped bare.
Yes, spending in 2025 already exceeds spending in 2024 and 2023.
And the deficit? Rising faster than ever.
How can this be?
Simple. The painful cuts making headlines barely move the needle.
Together, all federal employees account for just 5% of the budget.
What about foreign aid and critical global programs? Only half a percent!!!
Here's the reality:
- 21% of your taxes fund Social Security.
- 15% pay for Medicare.
- 13% go to national defense.
- 13% to Medicaid,
- 13% to cover interest on American debt.
That's 75% of spending right there.
So what's going on then?!
Well, cuts to foreign aid and science funding, are just political theatre.
All those jobs lost, research halted, global aid abandoned are for nothing!
Arguing over foreign aid is like bickering about spending $50 on dinner when your monthly rent is $10,000. The dinner isn't your problem. The rent is.
The regime want's to divide, distract, and disguise the truth: the real money, the vast majority, is locked up in programs no politician dares to touch.
No one in this regime is focused on saving money. They are selling you a political worldview under the guise of fiscal responsibility.
Stop buying the lie.
This regime is playing with your future, your money, and your values.
Speak up.
Demand accountability


Farzad 
April 10

Comments:
Saeed during Covid dow dropped from 29,000 to 18,000 in like 3 week. almost 40% drop. Covid was also self inflicted.

This is not a conspiracy theory or anything like that anymore. This is from CDC. We just could not publish or talk about it then.

Only 6% of the people who died of Covid-19 died only due to Covid 19 only. Of all the death certificates in the US that mention Covid-19, only 6% mention no other illnesses.

Death from Covid Only:
2020: 22,800
2021: 28,800

Death from Flu only:
2018: 51,000
2019: 27,000

[image]


Farzad 
April 10

Comments:

Saeed at 46,000 or below we fall in the bear market.  No nothing is settled.  Here is a piece of good news for you:

(Bloomberg) -- Goldman Sachs Group Inc. economists rescinded their forecast for a US recession after President Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause on most of his previously announced tariffs.


Saied 
April 10

Comments:
Farzad: Nonone argue about US deficit.  But I can assure you that the only way to pay it back is by growing the economy, there are no other way.  And I see no sign of a plan to grow the economy of this country.  Puting tariffs actually does the opposite.  Creating more enemies in the world, certainly does not do that.  Immigrants are actually here to do that and now this country is deporting them.  All I see is fuck, fuck and more fuck.


Saied 
April 10

Comments:
A colleague of mine with a green card is on his way to his annual Nepal trip, but he tells me, that for the first time, he in concerned about returning.  He is European.
An indian colleague who has been citizen for many years, returned from a trip to India and was asked several unusual questions at the custom. Like what food did you bring? And what meals do you make from them? And other bizzare questions.  This place is no longer the same, and people feel it.  Canadian has become more anti American than radical muslims.  This doe not paint a rosy picture of this great country.


Saeed 
April 10

Comments:
Farzad,
You asked for an unbiased opinion on trump and why everything in America looks twisted.  You are right about market fluctuation been there before, but there are difference this time.  First, non of them were self inflicted.  Second, I do not recall 10% swing per day.  But more importantly, people believed that are in safe hands.  Decisions are made rationally and things eventually settle down.  Nobody believes that these days, including Trump himself.  Unless he is doing insider trading, there is no other logic explaining his erratic decisions.  

It’s foolish to think Trump’s pivot on tariffs yesterday ― when he announced he was now putting a 10% tariff on every country and a 125% tariff on China for the next 90 days ― has actually improved anything, Krugman said. We’re “still at risk of a major financial crisis” he said, and the rest of the world “now knows that Trump is weak as well as erratic.”

Global uncertainty around Trump’s actions is just as dangerous to the economy as high tariffs, he said.

“So are things settled now? Hardly. The pause is for 90 days. Then what happens? Nobody, Trump included, has the faintest idea,” Krugman wrote.





Ali P. 
April 10

Comments:
 
Cyruss, people like this friend of yours (H. Hallack) are exactly what is wrong with America today. Not because he dislikes Trump, as it is everyone's right to dislike the president in a democracy, and it is everyone's right to have opinions and be able to freely express them.

But because he is sitting on a moral high ground created by the delusion that Democrats are the party of righteousness, truth, morality, and people's rights! That our government and public health institutions are pure, good, and ethically dedicated to protecting the public.  

Just the expression "vaccines bad, death and suffering good" shows that he is completely clueless about what is happening with our children's health, and he is just another brain-washed egotistical self-righteous lefty with a commendable talent to write propaganda pieces and appeal to the portion of the public entrenched so freaking DEEP in the matrix that no amount of Red Pills will help them wake the fu** up!  


Farzad 
April 10

Comments:
.


Farzad 
April 10

Comments:
 
Unconstitutional.....

House Passes GOP Bill Requiring Proof of Citizenship to Register to Vote


Farzad 
April 10

Comments:
Also saeed about stock market. I mean I hear you freaking out about market, KamkAr concerned about 401K, Cyruss concerned about poor victims who lost money... I get it.

But my question is by looking at the chart below, by end of 2021 we were all time high at like 36,500 and by september we were at 28,500, about 8000 point loss equal to 22% decrease (Bear Market). Or even in a short span we dropped from August high of 34,000 to september 28,500. A 5500 drop equal to 16% drop.

But no one freaked out, no one complained about the 401K, nor anyone cared about the poor victims. Can you tell me why is that? It almost looks like Obama being the president with highest number of undocumented deportation but no one remebers that. Can you tell me why? what is this syndrome called? Is it age?

Appreciate the logical financial reason behind it. Just need to understand with these higher 22% and 16% drop why didn't you guys freak out then?
 
التماس دعا
و
التماس منطق
 
Thank you
 
Screenshot-2025-04-10-133807 Screenshot-2025-04-10-133529


Farzad 
April 10

Comments:
Saeed, again, I am not peeshgoo.  I am not in conversations with those kinds of people.  But listening to international economists Pretty much every one of them from left and right believe that the country is going to bankruptcy and status quo does not sustain.  

The debate is how to go about it.  More we are learning from China more we are understanding what a real adversary China is... But they are in such an economical shambles where we can finally get them to stop all the cheatings to do.  

If you you want Trump to go, the soonest is about about 4 years. At that time maybe AOC, or Newsom or the Top candidate KamAla can have a good competion with JD Vance and on top of it if they win,  whoever needs a free dick, or need to cut theirs off for free even in the prison or  even if ythey are illegal immigrant, they can get it.  

you can call them They or it, or whatever they force you to call them

but in democracy you have to wait 4 years.  That is what Trump did, waited 4 years.  And this time won by 15 million votes than in 2016. That is how it works. 

Your focus and the democrats focus instead of just "name calling" should be to come up with a good candidate. Name callings for 8 years did not work. 


Saied 
April 10

Comments:
Farzad: Workforce in US corporations, particularly high tech are what is called " immigrants", even at high levels.  I am speaking with many of them, and they are concerned about the future of U.S.A.  Once, a country called "land of opportunity" has tuned into "Fuck land", with bizzare market place, government, border control, courts and constant battle mostly with their allies, or better said "ex allies".  Now, nowhere in the world are more anti American that their neighbor, Canada.  This aint going to be good for the future of this great country.  The sooner, this guy is out, less damage is going to be inflicted to this great nation. 


Farzad 
April 10

Comments:

US House approves Trump's "Big, Beautifull" Bill.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2025/04/09/reconciliation-budget-trump-congress/

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