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Comments: In conclusion, I do not believe things will change in Iran much, even with the deal being signed. Dollar will be a little cheaper in short term, prices also. But Iran continue to have problem long term as long as regime is in power. For things to change for better, regime must be toppled by Iranian people. There is no other way. I believe, despite all the damages inflicted by mullahs, Iran still has potential to make a come back.
Comments: It seems deal between US/IRI is close. I am saying this with certainty since both sides need it. IRI does not have any other choice. In fact, they view this as a god given chance to rescue them of the alternative, which is regime change. It seems, Trump after all the fuss and tearing down the original deal, now accept it!! It is because, this is his only chance to say, I did some thing. But how much sanction relief will be offered? I believe, IRI will be allowed to sell oil. Will that change regime behavior? Obviously, there are not much left of Hezbollah in Lebanon, or Hamas in Palestine. The only party left are Huthies in Yemen. will IRI resort to provide them assistance instead of spending the money to improve domestic programs to make life easier for people. There are so many shortcomings in Iran, that they will not be able to address just with oil revenue. They need foreign investment. I believe, IRI does not have the trust of foreign community to start their investment.
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Comments: Yeah agree. As I said these tariffs are just there as a tool for the countries to negotiate "trade deficits" and removal of "trade barriers". So as Bassnet said there will most likely be no tariffs and if any, it is balanced with removal of trade barriers and improving trade deficit. This will translate to exactly what you alluded to with U.S. savings in line with U.S. investments. Simple math. The immediate relief is cutting the interest rate. 1/3 of the tax we pay goes to paying the interest on the debt. And that's really bad.
Comments: With all the economical experts on hand in U.S, one wonder what the fuck, Trump is doing. It is like letting a plumber, do a surgery on you. Economy is a science, you can not do it with negotiation. Steve H. Hanke is a professor of applied economics at the Johns Hopkins University and the author, with Leland Yeager, of Capital, Interest, and Waiting. Caleb Hofmann is a research scholar at the Johns Hopkins Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise.
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